Let’s look at some of the more definitive trends of outright winners affecting this bowl season. Be sure to take advantage of that aspect in the next few weeks. The unfamiliarity of opponents combined with the varying excitement and motivational levels for the teams involved sometimes means these lines are just flat misses. What I’m hinting at is that moneyline underdogs are typically strong wagers at bowl time. Of those 34 ATS victors, 12 were underdogs. The previous season, the winners’ ATS record was 34-6-1. For instance, outright winners covered the spread in 22 of 26 games last bowl season. In bowl games, outright winners are far more successful on point spreads than they are in the regular season.
In these contests, the point spread is generally rendered meaningless, as the game is sometimes so decisive that the favorite bettor never has to worry or the underdog bettor is left wishing he would have chanced it on the moneyline instead.
One of the fundamental beliefs many successful bowl game handicappers share is that in many games, one team shows up and the other team doesn’t. Listen Live to VSiN’s sports betting shows. Want even more betting news? Sign up for VSiN’s free daily newsletter.
